We will have to agree to disagree as to whether Carmello is proven as an elite player then. He is a phenomenal scorer, but has lead his team to one conference championship and 0 finals. Do you really think a lineup of Felton-Walker-Carmello-Amare-Mozgov with a bench of basically Azubuke and Turiaf and Roger Mason (assuming we lose Gallo, Randolph, Douglas and Chandler) is anything more than a 6 seed? That team couldn't stop a nosebleed on the defensive end.
And Amare is a guy who has had knee trouble in the past...There is "absolutely no way (except injury)"? That means there IS a way, a way that is very real and very possible when one of the guys you are counting on to be healthy has had knee problems, an injury that recurs fairly frequently.Originally Posted by TRILLION
The argument is flawed because while you sit there and say "Well Anthony and Amare would definitely win 50+ games" there is no such guarantee and no way that you could know that definitely. You are spouting hyperbole like it is going out of style. When we got Marbury, again, much of the analysis was that we gave up two picks that wouldn't matter so much because we would be better with Marbury. We would have an elite back-court that would run teams to death, blah blah blah. It's all the same argument.
With Anthony, yes the reward is greater. But the risk is much more deadly. We put all our eggs in the Carmello basket and IF he fails not only will we have missed out on 2-3 of our prospects, we probably will miss out on additional draft picks IF we give everything that Denver wants. You want to roll the dice with one player. It may seem to be (and probably is) a surer bet than the Stephon Marbury roulette wheel. And we may hit the jackpot. But one turned ankle, one misstep by Amare or Carmello and we will be adding a trade that sent away all the young talent and draft picks we had to the list with the Eddy Curry and Stephon Marbury disasters.
I agree that the reward is great, if Carmello is everything you think he would be in New York. Then again, if Marbury was everything fans had hoped he would be that trade would've worked out fairly well also. It's not about whether Carmello is elite, or even if he is as good as Marbury...it's about diversifying your risk, economics 101.