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    Evacuee Crazy⑧s's Avatar
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    Default Crucial Remainder - Monitoring Threat Teams - Playoff Match Ups - Critical Games

    19 Games Remain!


    -The 5 teams most likely to climb or fall the EC ladder and effect our first round chances are:

    Orlando, Chicago, Philadelphia, Miami and Atlanta.

    - 1.5 games ahead of Philly, who have a much easier schedule than us for the remainder of the season. Recently lost to Dallas. We face them once before the season concludes.

    - Hawks beat the Bulls in a 19 point comeback win today and are now only 2 games behind Orlando. They have a schedule roughly as difficult as ours. We face them once before the season concludes.

    - Magic have an easier schedule than both us and Atlanta. Particularly their last 9 games. We face them twice before the season concludes.

    - Chicago are 3 games ahead of Orlando and are currently our first round match up. Their schedule for the remainder of the season is, again, roughly along the lines of being as challenging as ours, but tails off toward their last 7. We face them once in our second last game before the season ends.

    - Miami, after a string of non clutch performances, have entered the fray. They've lost 6 of their last 7 after a home loss to Portland, and are only 2.5 games ahead of Orlando who look to make 3rd seed.

    At this stage, we'd prefer to meet the Heat in the first round as it becomes progressively more clear that their supporting cast can't provide enough to win tight games, and that Chris Bosh is a $15M lemon.

    Orlando pose a huge threat to us with their depth and rebounding.

    Luckily, the Heat's schedule tails off to basically all -.500 teams after a tough run of 6 games against East and West elites.

    Heat Schedule

    [Only registered and activated users can see links. ]

    As confident as we all seem to be with our new lineup, we do have a challenging schedule throughout our remaining 22 games. Should wins are a thing of the past. Must wins could be no less crucial.

    Our must win games are against:

    - Cleveland - March 4 & April 3
    - Memphis - March 9 & 17
    - Indiana home and away - March 13 & 15 + April 10
    - Detroit - Mar 18
    - Milwaukee - March 20 & 25
    - Charlotte - March 26
    - New Jersey - April 8 & March 30
    - Toronto - April 5
    - Philadelphia - April 6

    These make up 15 of our last 22. If we were to go 15 and 7, I'd assume we'd not fall to 7th. Give up any of these must wins and Philadelphia become more likely to overtake us.

    Ideal 1st Round

    Ideal is probably not the term of choice, but I believe our most favorable match up in the first round of the Playoffs is Chicago. Hence, at this stage at least, maintaining 6th is detrimental.

    ○ We have 2 back up defenders in Carter and Douglas that we can throw hard at D Rose.

    ○ Rebounding, as ever, is a concern with Boozer and Noah. Williams becomes a mismatch at PF for them and would be integral to our success. Jefferies may come in handy against Boozer's post game with active hands.

    ○ Chicago do not defend the perimeter well, and the combination of STAT and Melo as 15 foot threats present a dilemma for them.

    STAT's Techs

    According to the following, Technical fouls are reset in the post-season under this premise.


    Technical Fouls 1-2: $2,000 fine each
    Technical Fouls 3-4: $3,000 fine each
    Technical Fouls 5-6: $4,000 fine each (with a warning letter sent
    when the violator reaches his 5th technical foul)

    Technical Foul 7: $5,000 fine plus one-game suspension
    Each Additional Technical Foul: $5,000 fine
    Each Two Additional Technical Fouls
    (9, 11, 13, etc.): $5,000 fine plus one game suspension

    [Only registered and activated users can see links. ]

    I will add more eventually as the drama unfolds.

    You can view our remaining schedule within the game thread sticky in the NYK forum. The schedules of the concerning teams are below.

    [Only registered and activated users can see links. ]
    [Only registered and activated users can see links. ]
    [Only registered and activated users can see links. ]
    [Only registered and activated users can see links. ]

    Let's do the site a favour and make this the focal of our hopes for 6th seed, and the monitoring of said teams as we push to optimize our post-season chances.

    Last edited by Crazy⑧s; Mar 08, 2011 at 21:03.
    [Only registered and activated users can see links. ]

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