9th is right on per ESPN.
[h=2]Lottery projections[/h][h=2]2018 NBA draft position odds[/h]
| TEAM | Exp. Pos. | NO. 1 (%) | TOP 3 (%) | TOP 5 (%) | TOP 10 (%) | Lottery (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHX | 3.2 | 21.6 | 57.9 | 93.8 | >99.9 | >99.9 |
| SAC | 3.9 | 15.4 | 44.3 | 75.7 | >99.9 | >99.9 |
| ATL | 4.1 | 14.4 | 42.1 | 72.4 | >99.9 | >99.9 |
| BKN* | 5.0 | 10.0 | 31.0 | 52.9 | >99.9 | >99.9 |
| ORL | 5.3 | 8.9 | 27.9 | 46.9 | 99.9 | >99.9 |
| MEM | 5.3 | 8.7 | 27.4 | 46.2 | 99.9 | >99.9 |
| CHI | 5.6 | 8.0 | 25.4 | 42.6 | 99.9 | >99.9 |
| DAL | 5.8 | 7.2 | 23.2 | 38.3 | 99.8 | >99.9 |
| NYK | 8.8 | 1.8 | 6.4 | 9.6 | 92.1 | >99.9 |
| LAL* | 9.5 | 1.3 | 4.7 | 7.0 | 78.7 | >99.9 |
| CHA | 11.6 | 0.7 | 2.6 | 3.8 | 11.9 | 89.4 |
| DET* | 11.8 | 0.7 | 2.4 | 3.6 | 10.3 | 85.9 |
| UTA | 16.1 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 46.5 |
| LAC | 16.2 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 47.7 |
| MIA* | 16.6 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 9.9 |
| NOP* | 17.3 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 37.3 |
| DEN | 17.4 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 33.0 |
| Using ESPN's Basketball Power Index |
- The Cavaliers will receive the Nets' pick unprotected
- The Lakers' pick will go to the 76ers if it lands at No. 1 or Nos. 6 to 30; the Celtics get the pick at Nos. 2 to 5
- The Clippers will receive the Pistons' pick if it is outside the top four
- The Suns will receive the Heat's pick if its outside the top seven
- The Bulls will receive the Pelicans' pick if it is outside the top five
[h=2]Where will traded picks land?[/h]
| Owned | Owed by | Convey? (%) | No. 1/best (%) | SOS (RK) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLE | BKN | 100 | 10.0 | 12 |
| PHI | LAL | 94.3 | 1.3 | 8 |
| BOS | LAL | 5.7 | 1.5 | 8 |
| LAC | DET | 96.4 | <0.1 | 22 |
| CHI | NOP | 99.6 | <0.1 | 5 |
| PHX | MIA | 99.5 | <0.1 | 29 |
- Knicks: 1-9
- Nets (owe pick to Cavs): 1-9
- Grizzlies: 1-9
- Suns: 1-9
- Lakers (owe pick to 76ers/Celtics): 6-4
- Magic: 4-6
- Hawks: 3-7
- Kings: 3-7
Monday | CHI at BKN
- BPI favorite: Nets (69.5 percent)
- Matchup quality*: 24.3
- Why it matters: Chicago has two fewer losses than Brooklyn.
- BPI favorite: Cavaliers (79.7 percent)
- Matchup quality: 26.5
- Why it matters: The Cavs get a chance to help their lottery odds.
- BPI favorite: Nets (73.7 percent)
- Matchup quality: 19.5*
- Why it matters: The Suns have the most losses right now, but the Mavs and Hawks are one game out and the Grizzlies are just three away.
- BPI favorite: Kings (51.8 percent)
- Matchup quality: 48.2
- Why it matters: The Kings are tied with the Nets in the loss column.
- BPI favorite: Bulls (50.1 percent)
- Matchup quality: 54.8
- Why it matters: The Bulls have three fewer losses than the Mavs.
- BPI favorite: Magic (59.2 percent)
- Matchup quality: 40.2
- Why it matters: The Magic have one more loss than the Grizzlies.
- BPI favorite: Hawks (70.2 percent)
- Matchup quality: 22.2
- Why it matters: The Suns and Hawks are projected to finish with two of the three worst records.
- BPI favorite: Knicks (57.1 percent)
- Matchup quality: 40.8
- Why it matters: The Knicks have six fewer losses than the NBA-worst Suns, while the Kings are just two losses out.
