Too many absolutes not rooted in the nuance of the dynamic that's actually in play.
The team isn't getting gutted to get Melo, even if we do trade for him.
If we do trade for him and give up quality, it's not a simple equation of adding two players' stats vs Melo (Trillion describes nicely ^); moreover, in the case of say, Chandler, we'd be saving 10M (or some approximate number) in yearly cap. Wilson is a FA.
And of course, if it was the simple decision of: do we want to add Melo, or add Melo and lose X, Y, Z.
Obviously everyone wants to just sign Melo. There's no news there. And unless Walsh is really Isiah Thomas with George Bush's instincts, there wouldn't be a sliver of doubt that we wouldn't "just" sign him.
It's a game of leverage and reading/responding to Melo's insecurity over a new cba agreement.
And it's not really about impatience and needing instant gratification (though the possibility of making a run this year is a nice bonus; every championship window has an expiration date).
*DEN only gets something for Melo if Melo hastens for a trade this season
*Melo hastnes for a trade if he gets real spooked about getting ****ed by new NBA rules
The x-factor is just how "scared" Melo gets, and just how serious DEN perceives his will to be, in the context of Melo wanting to come to us and them wanting to get something for us vs a calculated longer-shot of getting a lot from a place like NJ.
We're sandwiched between this, in a game of chicken and bluffing. That's --all-- this is.
And it is a --fluid-- process.
As we look better and better as a team, as the power of the MSG-NYK brabd and market grows, our value to Melo surges and the aforesaid "risk" to be scared of loses grip.
This weakens DEN's already tenuous grip more and more.
At some point Walsh will want to lock shit down. If there's a 90% shot, eg, that we can just sign Melo, but we can make it 100% by giving up marginal assets, he likely pulls trigger.
This is optimized to our advantage as long as we keep balling, which goes hand in hand with the stroke of time ticking.
All parties will likely resolve this at an 11th hour situation where DEN bends over deep, gets something, and we get Melo; or, contra this, if say our 3-8 struggling team kept that pace, they'd get more.
Ironically, their trade leverage might be so good that WE then counter by forcing the ball strictly back to Melo and bank on an out and out signings.
The most important thing is that this is a fluid process, it always has been. And while it is obvious to prefer to just sign him, and it is obviously looking more like a distinct possibility, it wasn't always this way -- and it isn't an absolute now, either.
If Walsh doesn't see us doing Melo + Chandler as our signings he will basically do a Chandler for Melo trade, as Chandler is reduced to being a non-factor for us. That's a business and financial call. If he thinks he can get M.Gasol or Big Baby plus Melo, he likely uses Chandler to try to ensure Melo this season.
Everyone (DEN, Melo, us) has someone to win, and something to lose in this spot.
Chandler/Curry/AR or a pick if Walsh wants a big this off season. Curry/AR/Douglas type deal if he wants to resign Chandler and ride STAT/turiaf/Moz as our 5's.
edit -- Fields may go, also, in either potential trade...we likely keep AR and Douglas if so. But I don't even see that as a necessity to include as long as we keep NYK pride high.
The chance of Melo to join STAT on an elite young team in NCV, and do what Lebron wet dreamed of being with Wade, will be an enormous pull.
We can thank Walsh daily for making the astute signing of Felton and drafting of Fields in ensuring our surge of success and statute this season.