Labor Dispute?
The current NBA situation is hardly a typical labor dispute between owners/corporations and employees. The NBA owners are closer to typical capitalist owners, but the players are not typical "employees." And the distinction is not simply in the amount of wages involved, but also in the spread in wages among the players. In the typical situation, the employees are more unified in the benefits each will receive from the negotiated contract.
If you think this is a typical labor dispute, ask yourself whether the players would refuse to cross the picket lines in a labor dispute between the Garden and the union workers at the Garden.
The BRI is a gross sum of money. The BRI has not yet hit $4 billion, but that is a number that is an arithmetically convenient sum which a current complete season might reach. Fifty-two percent of $4 billion is $2 billion and $80 million. ($2,080,000,000). Fifty percent is $2 billion. On the union's bottom line -- 52% -- the players will get $80 million a year more than on the owners' bottom line.
On the 30 teams there are approximately 450 players. The $80 million a year difference comes out to less than $3 million extra for each team and and an average of about $180 thousand less for each player. Is this relatively paltry sum worth a season?
As I understand it, the owners want a ten year contract but have agreed to an opt out for the players after 7 years. Seven times $80 million is $560 million. So if the players accept 50% they will lose, over 7 years, $560 million. If there is no season, the current players will lose in the single missed season $2 billion. How the hell are they going to make this up in the next contract?
Why are issues other than BRI relevant to the players as a whole? No matter what those issues, the players are going to split the same amount of money. From the players' perspective all that is left over is how the fixed percentage is split among the players.
Since the owners want some parity between the big markets and the small markets, they want to contract the amounts payable to the stars.
I see some real conflicts among the players. The non-star rank and file -- plainly the majority -- need the current income and surely want to play for pay. The stars and their agents do not want to contract the salaries at the top.
The union does not want to put it to a vote for good reason.
I have no sympathy for the owners, but as as long as they are willing to sit out a year, they have the leverage. And I do not have a lot of sympathy for the players. The real victims are the fans and particularly the many relatively low income earners who depend on 'working" the games.
Decertification is incredibly risky for both the players and the owners, but moreso, I believe, for the players. Someone has got to blink and very soon. I do not think it is going to be the owners.