I'd probably go for the Spurs. They are the best passing/highest IQ team in the league. Also they will expose the Heat for being undersized better than the Pacers just because they have better players, and better shooters.
Also i think the Heat are too injured. Wade just doesn't look like Wade anymore...his speed has greatly diminished. Bosh hasn't been great either this playoffs, although he's basically a SF game, 18 feet away from the Basket, so he'll probably have a couple games where he catches fire.. I think the x Factor for the Heat is someone like Shane Battier. They can't play him right now cuz his 3 isn't dropping, but if it does that could change the series cuz they need someone with his help defense.
I would like to go for the Spurs too, the Heats biggest weakness are defending opponents bigmen with great passing-skills, and Duncan has been the leagues best passin-bigman in the league for so long.
Coach Pop got Splitter & Diaw followin Duncan's lead .. with Green followin Parker's lead .. Leonard followin Ginobli's lead .... Coach Pop got a helluva 7-Man rotation that plays at any tempo on offense/defense .. Swept Lakers & Grizz, gave GS Steph Curry 6 games.
A+ NBA Basketball Team.
However .......
I do not SLEEP on D.Wade & Lebron at any level of NBA Basketball, especially in a series .. we all know it was illegal for the two super-stars to be teammates .. one of the super-stars have to play down just to make the game look legal, the 27 win streak, and winning 36 games of the Heats final 38 games of the regular-season were a strong statement to the NBA League Teams and Sterns new CBA rules.
Swept Bucks, gave Bulls 5 games, and gave Pacers 7 games.
A+ NBA Basketball Team.
All the Championship ring players n the super high-ratings are ready for all 7 games to be played ....
And 7 games favors the HEATS...