the thing going for deron williams is jerry sloan, is one of the best, if not the best, coach in the nba. im reminded of john stockton, who was never the most athletic guy, the best shooter, or really the best at anything. sloan's disciplned system and utahs talented roster in fact will make deron seem better than he really is. it will be like steve nash getting the mvp even though he was probably only the 3rd best player on his own team. point guards often get credit when they come to teams with talented rosters, or blamed when they are on teams with lousy rosters (like marbury, who is a great player, hes just never had the talent around him to make him look good).
still, i think it will be bogut. he will simple put up better numbers. deron wont score enough points, and in his rookie season, i dont expect him to get more than 10 points and 6.5 assists, which wont be enough to win the rookie of the year.